What You Can Trade: Prediction Markets, Event Contracts, and How They Work

Every market on this platform is built around a single question with a defined outcome - you take a position, other users take the opposite side, and the result is settled in USDC once the event resolves.

Understanding what markets you can trade on Adi Predict Street, and the rules that govern them, will help you make informed decisions before you place your first order.

What Prediction Markets Are on This Platform

The platform covers three broad areas of events: sports outcomes, political results, and crypto or financial market movements. Each area contains individual markets tied to specific real-world events, with binary or discrete outcomes - a contract either settles in the money or expires worthless.

The prediction markets available on Adi Predict Street are published directly in the Markets section of the platform, where you can browse active listings, check order book depth, and review the terms for each event. The table below gives an overview of the main categories.

The exact list of live markets changes over time. For the current selection, go to the Markets section on the platform. Once you have found a market you want to participate in, the next step is to create your account and complete verification before placing any orders.

How New Markets Are Listed and Who Decides

The Company decides which markets appear on the platform. There is no user-submitted listing process - every market is created, defined, and published at the Company's sole discretion.

The process by which Adi Predict Street lists new markets covers every element of how that market operates, from the event it tracks to the source used to determine the outcome. The checklist below shows what the Company controls for each listing.

• Which events are eligible for a market on the platform
• The specific terms and conditions that apply to each market
• The possible outcomes a contract can resolve to
• The Resolution Source designated to determine the result
• The right to amend, suspend, or delist any market at any time
• No obligation to list any specific event, regardless of user interest

This means that a market you are watching can be modified or removed after trading has started, if the Company determines it is necessary for market integrity, regulatory compliance, or fairness. Users are not entitled to a specific market remaining open.

How Event Contract Prices Are Set

The price you see on any Event Contract is not a probability estimate produced by the platform. It reflects the collective trading activity of all users currently participating in that market - a form of crowd consensus that shifts as orders are placed and matched.

For a full breakdown of how Event Contracts work, including order book mechanics and settlement, see our dedicated page. What matters here is that prices can move between the moment you submit an order and the moment it is matched, and the Company does not guarantee price certainty at execution.

Factors that influence price at any given moment include the number of active participants, available liquidity, the presence of professional or algorithmic traders, and any new information about the underlying event. None of these factors are controlled by the platform.

Pre-Event and Live Markets: Key Differences

Most markets open before the event begins, giving users time to build or adjust positions based on available information. A separate category of live and in-play prediction markets on the platform allows trading while the event is actively taking place, with prices updating in real time from live data feeds.

The practical difference between the two types goes beyond timing. Live markets carry an additional layer of risk tied to data latency - the gap between what is happening in the real world and what the platform displays. The table below summarises the key distinctions.

In-play markets where prices update in real time are subject to the accuracy and availability of the live data source. The Company is not liable for any loss arising from latency or inaccuracy in live market data. If you are new to this type of trading, review the market terms carefully before placing an order during a live event.

How a Resolution Source Is Chosen for Each Market

Every market on the platform has a designated Resolution Source - the data provider, oracle, or official body whose output the Company uses to determine the outcome of the event and settle contracts accordingly.

The Company selects the Resolution Source when the market is created and publishes it as part of the market terms. Sources typically include official statistical organisations, recognised sports data providers, on-chain oracles for crypto markets, and authoritative public records for political events.

The Company does not control these third-party sources and cannot guarantee their accuracy, availability, or continued operation. If a Resolution Source becomes unavailable or produces ambiguous results, the Company may void the market rather than settle on unreliable data - in which case stakes are returned to users in accordance with the applicable market rules.

What Happens When a Market Is Voided or Cancelled

A voided market means the Company has determined that the event cannot be settled fairly or in accordance with the published terms. This is not a common outcome, but it is a defined part of how the platform operates, and users should understand what triggers it and what happens to their funds.

When a market is voided, stakes are returned to users in line with the applicable market rules. The table below sets out the main scenarios that can lead to a void or cancellation.

The Company's determination in each of these scenarios is final. If you believe a void was applied incorrectly, you can raise a formal dispute - see the Problems and Solutions section below for the steps to follow.

Market Liquidity: What to Expect When Trading

Liquidity describes how easily you can enter or exit a position at a price close to what you see on screen. On a liquid market, orders fill quickly and the gap between the buy and sell price is narrow. On a thin market, that gap widens and large orders may be difficult to fill at all.

Several factors determine how much liquidity is available in any given market at any given time.

• The number of active users currently trading in that specific market
• Whether the event is a major, widely-followed occurrence or a niche topic
• The overall maturity of the platform - early-stage liquidity may be lower than it will be once the user base grows
• The width of the bid-ask spread, which reflects the difference between the highest buy offer and the lowest sell offer
• The total order book depth at prices near the current market level

You should check the order book before placing a large order. If depth is limited, your order may only partially fill, or execution may move the price against you.

Niche Markets vs. High-Volume Events

Not all markets on the platform carry the same level of activity. High-volume events - major sporting tournaments, significant elections, or large crypto price milestones - tend to attract more users and deeper order books, which generally means tighter spreads and easier order execution.

Niche markets, by contrast, may have very few active participants at any given time. Wide bid-ask spreads are common, and your ability to exit a position at your target price may be limited. The Company is not responsible for market impact arising from your own trading activity, including situations where a large order in a thin market moves the price against you.

The platform also notes that during the early phase of operation, overall market liquidity across all categories may be lower than it will be once an established user base is in place. This is a structural characteristic of any new prediction market platform and is worth factoring into your approach, particularly on less-traded events.

Market Suspension: What It Means for Your Position

The Company may suspend trading in any market at any time. During a suspension, you cannot open new positions or close existing ones - your exposure remains fixed until the suspension is lifted or the market is resolved or voided.

Here is what happens step by step when a market is suspended.

1. The Company suspends the market - this can happen without prior notice.
2. All order placement and position-closing actions are disabled for that market.
3. You continue to hold your open position and carry unresolved market risk for the duration of the suspension.
4. The suspension is either lifted and trading resumes, or the market is voided or resolved directly from the suspended state.

Suspension is typically triggered by data integrity concerns, regulatory requirements, or unusual market conditions. The Company's decision to suspend is made at its sole discretion and does not require user consent. If a market you hold a position in is suspended, monitor the platform for updates and avoid assuming the suspension will be brief.

High-Volume Event Periods and Platform Conditions

When a major event draws a large number of users to the platform simultaneously - such as an international sporting tournament or a significant political vote - trading volumes, system load, and operational demand all increase at once.

During these periods, market conditions may differ materially from normal operation. Rapid inflows of new users and capital can create unusual price dynamics within specific markets, including significant short-term volatility. Spreads may widen even on markets that are ordinarily liquid.

Operational processing times may also be affected. The Company's compliance and account management resources are subject to capacity constraints during peak periods, which can mean extended timescales for withdrawal requests and verification procedures. The platform will notify users of any material change to standard processing times through the platform itself.

Order Execution: Why Your Order May Not Fill

Submitting an order does not guarantee that it will be matched. The platform operates on a user-to-user model - your order fills only when another user is willing to take the opposite position at your specified price. The Company does not act as a buyer or seller of last resort.

There are several reasons an order may go unmatched or be rejected entirely.

• No counterparty is currently available at your specified price
• Order book depth at your price level is insufficient to fill the full order size
• The market has been suspended at the time your order is submitted
• The Company rejects or cancels the order at its discretion
• Your order size is large enough relative to available liquidity that execution itself moves the market price against you

If your order does not fill, you can adjust the price, reduce the size, or wait for conditions to change. There is no obligation on the platform to fill any order, and partial fills are possible on larger positions.

Market Rules and the Trading Rules Policy

Each market on the platform operates under its own specific terms, which are published alongside the market listing. These terms define the possible outcomes, the Resolution Source, the settlement methodology, and any special conditions that apply to that event.

The overarching framework for all markets is set out in the Trading Rules Policy, which is published on the platform and forms part of the Terms and Conditions. If there is ever a conflict between what you expect and how a market resolves, the Trading Rules Policy and the individual market terms are the authoritative reference.

You are responsible for reading the applicable market terms before placing an order. The Company's determination of any outcome is final and binding on all users, subject only to the manifest error provisions described in the Terms.

Fees That Apply When You Trade a Market

Participating in a market involves costs beyond the capital you put into a position. Trading fees and settlement fees apply to activity on the platform, and blockchain network fees are your responsibility on any deposit or withdrawal transaction.

Before placing your first order, you will need to fund your account with one of the accepted cryptoassets. The table below summarises the fee types relevant to market participation.

Current rates for all fee types are listed on the full trading fee schedule published on the platform. Fees are deducted from settlement proceeds or withdrawal amounts and directly affect your net result on any position. Review the fee schedule before trading, particularly on markets where margins are tight.

Problems and Solutions

Most issues with markets fall into one of four categories: a market voided without warning, an order that did not fill, a settlement result that appears wrong, or a suspension that leaves you holding an open position. Each has a defined path to resolution.

Market Voided Without Warning

A void can be applied at any time and does not require advance notice to users. The most common triggers are event cancellation, an unavailable or ambiguous Resolution Source, detected manipulation, or a regulatory requirement.

When a market is voided, stakes are returned to your account in accordance with the applicable market rules. Check your account balance after a void is announced to confirm the return has been processed.

• Check the market status in the Markets section of your account
• Review the market terms to confirm the void conditions that apply
• Allow reasonable processing time for the stake return to appear in your balance
• If the return has not appeared after a reasonable period, contact complaints@adipredictstreet.com
• Include the market name, event, and your order or position reference in any message
• If you believe the void was applied incorrectly, state this clearly and request a review
• Escalation to the Gibraltar Licensing Authority is available if the internal process does not resolve the matter
• Keep a record of the market terms as they appeared at the time you placed your order

Order Not Matched or Executed

An unmatched order means no counterparty was available at your price, or the order was rejected by the platform. This is not an error - it is a structural feature of a user-to-user order book with no guaranteed execution.

Before resubmitting, check the current order book depth to see whether there is realistic counterparty interest at your price level. Adjusting your price or reducing your order size may improve the chance of a fill.

• Verify the market was not suspended at the time you submitted the order
• Check the order book depth at your target price before resubmitting
• Consider adjusting your price closer to the current market level
• Reduce order size if the available depth at your price is smaller than your full position
• Check your account order history to confirm whether the order was received and rejected, or simply unmatched

Settlement Result Appears Incorrect

The Company's determination of any market outcome is final and binding on all users, except in the case of manifest error. Disagreeing with the result of an event is not grounds for a dispute - the Resolution Source designated in the market terms governs the settlement.

If you believe a manifest error has occurred - meaning the settlement is clearly and obviously inconsistent with the market terms or the published Resolution Source - you can submit a formal complaint. If a market settlement appears incorrect, contact our support team at complaints@adipredictstreet.com with your order details.

• Gather the market name, event, your position size, and the settlement amount received
• Note the Resolution Source published in the market terms and the actual data it produced
• Describe clearly why you believe a manifest error occurred, not simply that you disagree with the outcome
• Send this information to complaints@adipredictstreet.com - acknowledgement is provided within 3 business days
• If the internal process does not resolve the matter, escalation to the Gibraltar Licensing Authority is available

Market Suspended While You Hold an Open Position

A suspension freezes your position in place. You cannot close it, and you cannot open additional positions in the same market until the suspension is lifted. Your capital remains at risk for the duration.

The most important thing to understand during a suspension is that you have no actionable steps available until the Company lifts the suspension or resolves the market. Attempting to contact support to force a close will not override the suspension.

• Check the platform for any announcement about the reason for the suspension
• Do not assume the suspension will be brief - it may last until the event resolves or is voided
• Monitor your account for a status update on the suspended market
• If the market is subsequently voided, stakes will be returned per market rules
• If the market resolves directly from suspension, settlement proceeds will be credited normally
• Contact complaints@adipredictstreet.com if the suspension extends beyond what appears reasonable and no update has been provided

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